- Arigato Investor's Newsletter
- Posts
- Adam Khoo's Insights You Can’t Miss: Market Trends for 2025 📊
Adam Khoo's Insights You Can’t Miss: Market Trends for 2025 📊
Arigato, dear investor,
Yesterday, I had the privilege of attending Adam Khoo's 1-day Market Outlook Training, and wow—what an eye-opening experience! He shared insights that made me rethink my perspective on the current market trends. I left feeling not only more informed but also more confident about navigating the investment landscape in 2025.
One key takeaway: the market is not as overvalued as it might seem. In fact, the growth in stock prices is strongly supported by earnings growth. Let me break it down for you:
1. The S&P 500 Is Largely Fairly Valued
From Adam’s analysis and shared charts, over 71.3% of the S&P 500 falls into the "fairly valued" or "undervalued" category. This means the current valuations are not as inflated as many might believe.
📊 Look at the chart I’ve attached! It shows the valuation distribution, with a significant chunk of stocks trading near their intrinsic values.
2. The MegaCap-8 Continue to Drive Growth
As per additional research from Yardeni QuickTakes:
The MegaCap-8 stocks (including Apple, Microsoft, and Nvidia) have outperformed the broader market
Despite their high forward P/E of 28.3, these stocks are actually cheaper than during the pandemic. Their earnings and revenue growth of 44.7% y/y and 11.4% y/y, respectively, make them a powerful driver of market strength.
3. PEG Ratio: A Balanced Perspective
The PEG ratio currently stands at 1.25, indicating that while the market is priced for growth, it's not in "bubble" territory.
Adam's historical charts also reveal that today’s valuations are far from the alarming peaks seen in past speculative bubbles. Earnings growth is supporting these valuations, adding stability to what might otherwise seem like lofty numbers.
4. S&P 500 Profit Margins Are at a Record High
Profit margins in the S&P 500 have doubled over the last 20 years and tripled over the last 30 years. This is a testament to how businesses are becoming more efficient, which supports long-term stock price appreciation.
So, what does this mean for us as investors?
Don’t panic over claims of an overvalued market.
Focus on quality companies with strong earnings and margins.
Look at broader market trends supported by both historical data and forward earnings.
Adam’s training reminded me why I love being an investor—staying informed and grounded can make all the difference. Let’s continue this journey together and make smarter, more confident investment decisions.
If you found this valuable, let me know! What’s your take on the current market trends?
😊 Exciting news! Over the next few days, I’ll be sharing more about the companies Adam highlighted as undervalued, fairly valued, and overvalued in this market condition. Keep an eye on your inbox—you won’t want to miss it!
Chloe
Arigato Investor
P.S. I’ve attached some of Adam’s charts from the training. Let me know if you want a deeper dive into any of these topics! 😃
Ads
From Wall Street to Your Portfolio: Master Value Investing
The Applied Value Investing Certificate Program from Wharton Online and Wall Street Prep is an 8-week, online, self-paced program that teaches participants how to identify undervalued stocks with the process-driven approach used by the world’s top investors.
Program benefits also include:
Guest Speaker Series with top industry professionals
Exclusive access to networking and recruitment events
Invitation-Only LinkedIn Groups and Slack Channels
Certificate issued by Wharton Online and Wall Street Prep
Reply